数字经济、人力资本与京津冀高质量发展

姚林修，姜金秋，王琼

（首都经济贸易大学 城市经济与公共管理学院，北京 100070）

摘要：数字经济已成为推动区域高质量发展的重要动力，但其作用机制与区域差异仍有待深入探讨。本文基于2011—2024年京津冀城市面板数据，从人力资本视角考察数字经济促进区域高质量发展的作用机制。研究发现：数字经济能促进京津冀高质量发展，该效应主要体现在创新、协调、开放和共享发展维度，对绿色发展维度的影响尚不明显；数字技能型和科研创新型人力资本是数字经济影响高质量发展的重要渠道，且数字技能型人力资本的作用更强；人才引进政策强度越高，数字经济对人力资本积累的促进作用越强；数字经济促进高质量发展的效应存在空间异质性，在人力资本集聚程度较高的核心圈层城市，该效应更强。据此，建议分类完善数字人才培养与引进政策，优化数字人力资本供给结构，强化人才政策与数字经济发展的协同效应，推动数字经济红利区域共享。

基金项目：中国教育学会重点规划课题“县域教育资源优化机制研究：基于学龄人口变动特征的分类视角”（202532GHA001）

关键词：京津冀；数字经济；人力资本；高质量发展；人才引进政策

作者简介：姚林修，首都经济贸易大学副校长、首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院助理研究员；姜金秋，首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院副教授，通信作者；王琼，首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院硕士研究生。

引用格式：姚林修，姜金秋，王琼. 数字经济、人力资本与京津冀高质量发展［J］. 首都经济贸易大学学报，2026，28（5）：35-44.

The Digital Economy, Human Capital, and High-Quality Development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

YAO Linxiu, JIANG Jinqiu, WANG Qiong

（Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070）

Abstract: Against the backdrop of China's national strategy for the coordinated development of the Beijing- Tianjin-Hebei region, this study investigates how the digital economy contributes to regional high-quality development, with emphasis on the transmission mechanism of human capital. Drawing on city-level panel data from 2011 to 2024, this study constructs multidimensional indicator systems for the digital economy, high-quality development, and human capital. Two-way fixed-effects models, mechanism tests, and instrumental-variable estimation are employed to examine the effects of the digital economy, its underlying mechanisms, and spatial heterogeneity. Additionally, this study assesses whether talent attraction policies reinforce digital economy-driven human capital accumulation.

The empirical analysis yields four principal findings. First, the digital economy significantly promotes highquality development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Its positive effects are primarily manifested in innovation, coordination, openness, and sharing, whereas its contribution to green development is not statistically significant. Second, human capital constitutes an important transmission channel linking the digital economy to high-quality development. The digital economy significantly facilitates the accumulation of both digital skills-oriented human capital and research and innovation-oriented human capital, with the former playing a stronger role. Third, talent attraction policies strengthen the contribution of the digital economy to human capital accumulation, indicating complementarities between digital economic development and institutional support for talent. Fourth, the estimated effects exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity: Core cities benefit substantially more than peripheral cities.

These findings inform four policy priorities. First, a collaborative digital innovation system should be established across the urban agglomeration. The complementary strengths of Beijing in innovation generation, Tianjin in research commercialization, and Xiong'an in institutional innovation and application scenarios should be integrated to strengthen connections between innovation and industrial chains. Second, differentiated talent development systems should respond to industrial digital transformation. Regional skills demand forecasting should guide educational provision, while targeted training should improve digital literacy among low-skilled workers, applied competencies among technicians, and practical capabilities among graduates. Third, differentiated talent attraction policies should facilitate qualification recognition, shared employment services, research platform access, and collaborative research. Fourth, governance coordination between core and peripheral cities should improve digital infrastructure connectivity, public service coordination, and cross-regional factor mobility.

This study provides empirical evidence on the role of human capital in translating digital economic development into regional high-quality development. Its findings underscore the importance of coordinating digital transformation, differentiated talent development, and regional institutions to enhance the inclusiveness and spatial balance of development across the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

Keywords: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei; digital economy; human capital; high-quality development; talent recruitment policies

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